- XRP recently hit a new all-time high of $3.65 before cooling to around $3.24, with strong support at $3.00 and $2.70.
- Potential catalysts include speculation over a U.S. spot XRP ETF, Ripple’s legal victory, and expanding cross-border payment adoption.
- Risks remain from whale profit-taking, market fatigue, macroeconomic uncertainty, and competition.
Ripple’s XRP is once again capturing the attention of the global crypto market after a dramatic summer surge that saw it smash through its previous all-time high. In mid-July, XRP soared by more than 60% in just over a week, shattering its January 2018 record of $3.40 and setting a new milestone at $3.65.
But as is often the case with sharp rallies, a cooldown followed. The token dipped toward $2.70 before regaining momentum, and now, bullish sentiment appears to be making a comeback. As of press time, XRP is trading at approximately $3.24, holding firmly above the key $3.00 support zone, which has become a battleground between buyers and sellers.
Possibilities of XRP’s Next Move
Crypto analysts and market commentators remain divided on what comes next. Some long-term XRP advocates are predicting another leg up, fueled by positive legal developments and renewed institutional interest. Others caution that the market could be due for further consolidation before any significant breakout.
To get a balanced perspective, several AI market analysis tools, including ChatGPT, Gemini, and Grok, were asked to assess XRP’s current setup. While all three recognized the token’s strong performance and fundamentals, they also pointed out key risks that could trigger another pullback.
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Bullish Catalysts on the Horizon
Speculation about a potential spot XRP ETF in the U.S. has intensified in recent months, particularly following the SEC’s resolution of its long-running legal battle with Ripple. Combined with Ripple’s expanding footprint in cross-border payments, these developments could attract significant institutional inflows.
Another bullish catalyst for XRP is its strong technical support. Price zones between $2.70 and $2.80 have consistently absorbed selling pressure since the post-rally dip. Analysts note that buyers have been quick to defend these levels, reinforcing the possibility of another upward push.
Moreover, legal clarity and market expansion have also added to the bullish sentiment. Gemini pointed to Ripple’s legal victory as a game-changer, suggesting it could open the door for U.S.-listed XRP ETFs. Approval would follow the same path as the successful launches of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, potentially introducing XRP to a new wave of retail and institutional investors.
The Bearish Case: Risks Lurking Beneath the Surface
Despite the optimism, both Gemini and Grok highlighted factors that could stall or reverse XRP’s momentum. Chief among them is the risk of “whale” activity, large holders taking profits after the rally, similar to what occurred after the recent all-time high.
Other risks include:
Market fatigue following the coin’s steep rise since late 2024, macro uncertainty, with potential ripple effects from recent shifts in U.S. foreign and economic policy, and rising competition from newer blockchain networks targeting cross-border payments.
Market Structure Points to a Decisive Moment
XRP’s technical picture suggests that it is approaching a critical juncture. ChatGPT’s assessment was more cautious than the other AIs, noting that the token’s “next big move depends on whether it can hold above the $2.70 support zone and reclaim the $3.40–$3.65 range.”
A confirmed breakout above that range could set the stage for a push toward $4.00 and beyond, while a breakdown could send prices back to the mid-$2 levels, or even lower in a prolonged correction.
The Road Ahead
Whether XRP can sustain its current momentum will depend heavily on investor sentiment, trading volume, and regulatory developments in the coming months. Ripple’s continued push into global payments infrastructure could help maintain its competitive edge.
For now, all eyes remain on the $3.40 resistance level. A decisive break above it could ignite the next phase of the rally, but failure to do so may keep XRP stuck in its current range, or worse, trigger another retracement.
Also Read: Ripple CTO Clarifies Timing of XRP Escrow Releases Amid Speculation