- Analyst JD claims XRP’s current monthly chart mirrors its 2017 setup, the same level that preceded its historic surge.
- He argues that XRP is holding above a multi-year ascending trendline and the asset could break to new all-time highs in 2026.
- JD predicts a major rally followed by a sharp post-ATH correction.
Prominent crypto analyst JD has suggested that XRP could be on the verge of a major price breakout that mirrors its explosive rally in late 2017.
In a new analysis shared on social media, JD highlights a striking similarity between XRP’s current monthly chart structure and the price behavior observed just before the asset surged to its all-time high in January 2018.
According to the analyst, XRP’s price has once again touched the 21-month Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the same technical level that acted as a springboard for its historic 2017 rally.
JD argues that if XRP follows the same technical trajectory, investors could see a return to all-time highs as early as January 2026.
Historical Parallel: December 2017 vs. December 2025
JD points out that in December 2017, XRP briefly dipped to test the 21-month EMA before catapulting upward in a dramatic multi-week rally that culminated in new all-time highs. The chart included with his post highlights this moment with a blue arrow and annotation, showing a clear bounce off the EMA that initiated the final leg of the bull market.
The same formation appears to be developing again in December 2025. XRP has returned to test the 21-month EMA after months of consolidation near the multi-year horizontal resistance line around the previous cycle’s price ceiling.
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$XRP – Back in Dec 2017, we tested 21m EMA then bounce to All Time Highs (ATHs) in Jan 2018
Dec 2025, we are now testing 21m EMA. Will we copy Jan 2018 & bounce to ATHs in Jan 2026?
IF trendline holds in 20 days, I expect ATH in Q1 2026, then Rug Pull CRASH!
RT for updates!… pic.twitter.com/AYrlBxyKVE
— JD 🇵🇭 (@jaydee_757) December 12, 2025
JD notes that the asset is not only touching the EMA but remains positioned above a long-term ascending trendline that has supported price action since 2020. The accompanying chart visualizes the long-term structure JD references. A rising white trendline beneath price action shows years of gradually increasing higher lows.
Despite recent market volatility, XRP continues to trade above this multi-year support level. JD argues that maintaining this level over the next 20 days is crucial for confirming the bullish setup.
His analysis shows that the last time XRP held this trendline while simultaneously interacting with the 21-month EMA, the asset launched into its strongest rally in history. The chart also highlights the parallel between the two time periods, signaling what JD believes may be an early-stage repeat of the 2017 pattern.
Expectation: ATH in Q1 2026, Followed by a Sharp Reversal
JD states that if XRP maintains the trendline and confirms a bounce off the 21-month EMA, he expects a surge to new all-time highs in the first quarter of 2026. The analyst emphasizes January 2026 as the most likely window for such a breakout, mirroring the timeline of the 2017–2018 cycle.
However, JD also warns of a potential “rug pull crash” after the projected all-time high, implying that a steep correction could follow the rally. This suggests he views the anticipated move as a cyclical blow-off top rather than a sustained long-term appreciation.
Source: JD/X
Market Reaction and Outlook
The analysis has generated significant conversation within the XRP community, particularly among traders who track long-term technical patterns. The parallel between cycles, combined with XRP’s positioning above key support levels, has added momentum to speculation about a major price breakout in early 2026.
Still, while JD’s chart comparison is compelling, it remains speculative. Technical setups can fail, macroeconomic conditions differ from 2017, and past performance does not guarantee future results. XRP’s ability to maintain its trendline support in the coming weeks will likely determine whether this bullish scenario remains viable.
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