- Analyst Guy on the Earth says XRP’s weekly chart is flashing a recurring hidden bullish divergence (HBD)—a pattern that preceded explosive multi-year rallies.
- Current price consolidation and RSI behavior mirror past pre-expansion phases.
- If the broader market stabilizes and the pattern confirms, XRP could enter another major expansion phase.
XRP may be setting up for another major price expansion, according to crypto analyst Guy on the Earth, who points to a recurring technical pattern on the weekly chart that has historically preceded explosive rallies.
In a recent post, the analyst highlighted what he describes as a repeated hidden bullish divergence (HBD) structure that has appeared at critical macro lows in XRP’s history. Each previous occurrence, he noted, was followed by a substantial multi-year price expansion.
Hidden Bullish Divergence Appearing Again on the Weekly Chart
Hidden bullish divergence occurs when price forms a higher low while momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) form a lower low. This pattern is generally interpreted as a continuation signal within a broader uptrend, suggesting that underlying strength remains intact despite short-term weakness.
On the accompanying weekly XRP charts, previous instances of HBD are clearly marked at major cycle bottoms. The first appeared in December 2015, when XRP was trading below one cent.
That signal preceded a massive rally that ultimately carried XRP to its historic 2018 peak above $3.30. While the expansion took more than two years to fully materialize, the weekly divergence marked a structural turning point.
A second occurrence formed around the June 2022 bear market lows. XRP printed another HBD signal before gradually appreciating throughout 2023 and into its explosive surge in November 2024, eventually leading to a new all-time high in 2025. Now, according to the analyst, the pattern may be emerging once again.
Also Read: Big Day for XRP Tomorrow: Here’s What to Expect
XRP
Hidden bullish divergence is turning into a common theme on the XRP weekly chart. Each time we have seen it we have seen further expansion of XRP to follow.
It has marked the lows in similar fashion on 2 previous occasions.
The December 2015 HBD marked the lows before a… pic.twitter.com/TuyQLD1M3t
— Guy on the Earth (@guyontheearth) February 10, 2026
Current Consolidation Mirrors Past Pre-Expansion Phases
The latest chart structure shows XRP consolidating following its recent all-time high. Price has pulled back toward a long-term ascending trendline that previously acted as support before the November 2024 lift-off.
The RSI on the weekly timeframe appears to be forming lower momentum readings while price holds significantly higher levels compared to prior cycle lows. This potential hidden bullish divergence, the analyst argues, resembles the same structure that marked prior expansion phases.
Importantly, he cautions that this does not necessarily confirm that the absolute bottom is already in. Rather, it suggests that once the broader market establishes a clear bottom, XRP could be positioned for another strong expansion, this time from a much higher base.
Source: Tradingview
The Significance of Higher Base Lows
One notable element in the analyst’s thesis is the progression of cycle lows over time. The first HBD lows were printed at approximately $0.0028 and $0.004. The second cycle’s HBD lows came in around $0.11 and $0.29, while the current potential HBD lows are forming near $0.38 and $1.11.
This pattern of progressively higher structural bases indicates long-term growth in XRP’s macro valuation structure. If the recurring divergence continues to play out, the next expansion could theoretically launch from a significantly elevated price foundation compared to prior cycles.
From a technical standpoint, the weekly chart also shows XRP maintaining a long-term ascending trendline that has been respected across multiple years. Each major retest of this trendline in past cycles coincided with accumulation zones before major upside moves.
Long-Term Structure Remains Intact
Beyond divergence signals, the broader technical structure appears to show XRP building what the analyst describes as a “healthy long-term base.” Despite volatility and corrective phases, the chart reflects higher highs and higher lows over successive macro cycles.
The consolidation range following the recent all-time high resembles prior cooling-off periods that eventually gave way to impulsive expansion phases. RSI behavior across cycles further reinforces the narrative that momentum resets have historically preceded renewed upside.
According to Guy on the Earth, the case for holding and accumulating XRP remains strong, particularly as the XRP Ledger ecosystem continues to develop compared to its earlier stages.
What Happens Next?
If historical precedent holds and the hidden bullish divergence confirms upon broader market stabilization, XRP could enter another multi-year expansion phase. However, as the analyst emphasizes, confirmation requires the overall market to complete its bottoming process.
For now, traders are watching whether the weekly structure continues to respect the ascending trendline and whether momentum begins to shift upward from current levels. Should the recurring pattern once again lead to expansion, XRP’s next move may redefine its previous all-time highs, potentially from the strongest macro base the asset has ever established.
Also Read: Top Analyst Warns XRP Holders: Time to Take Profit Before This Happens
