- ChartNerd identified $1.16–$1.17 resistance where every XRP recovery attempt since February has failed, delaying bullish confirmation.
- Repeated Adaptive SuperTrend rejections pushed XRP toward $1.00, reinforcing bearish market structure despite several rebounds across months.
- A decisive daily close above resistance would invalidate lower highs and strengthen confidence in broader market recovery.
XRP remains locked below a major technical barrier that has repeatedly halted every meaningful recovery attempt since February, according to crypto analyst ChartNerd. The analyst identified the $1.16 to $1.17 range as the daily Adaptive SuperTrend resistance, arguing that buyers must reclaim this zone before any sustained recovery gains technical confirmation.
ChartNerd shared a daily chart showing the Adaptive SuperTrend acting as dynamic resistance throughout XRP’s prolonged decline. Every rally into the indicator ended with renewed selling pressure, preventing the asset from establishing a lasting bullish trend.
According to ChartNerd, the latest setup still shows no bullish signal because XRP remains below the resistance band. Consequently, the broader market structure continues to favor sellers despite several rebound attempts. The analysis places greater importance on the resistance level than on short-term price fluctuations, making the current zone the market’s primary technical focus.
Adaptive SuperTrend keeps rejecting XRP rallies
The chart illustrates a consistent pattern stretching from February through early August, with every recovery attempt reaching the Adaptive SuperTrend before losing momentum and reversing lower. February marked the first major rejection on the chart as buyers attempted to regain control, yet the resistance ceiling forced another decline, while March produced a similar rally that sellers rejected at the same indicator.
April followed the same pattern as XRP climbed toward resistance before reversing lower, while May delivered another rejection that extended the series of failed breakout attempts and reinforced the prevailing downtrend. June produced the strongest bearish move during the period, with XRP falling toward a local low near $1.00 after another rejection that, according to ChartNerd, demonstrated how the Adaptive SuperTrend consistently acted as the market’s resistance wall.
Although XRP later rebounded from that low, July generated two additional rallies that failed beneath the descending indicator. The latest chart also displays another rejection during early August, leaving the technical outlook unchanged. Besides highlighting repeated failures, the indicator has gradually moved lower over recent months, suggesting bearish momentum has eased. However, buyers have still failed to reclaim the key resistance area.
Break above $1.17 could change the market structure
According to ChartNerd, XRP must close convincingly above the $1.16 to $1.17 range before the market can validate signs of recovery. Such a move would place the price above the daily Adaptive SuperTrend for the first time in several months.
Additionally, reclaiming that level would invalidate the sequence of lower highs that has dominated the chart since February. It would also strengthen the case for improving momentum if supported by sustained buying activity and stronger market participation.
Conclusion
For now, the daily Adaptive SuperTrend remains XRP’s defining technical barrier, with ChartNerd arguing that the $1.16 to $1.17 resistance continues separating temporary rebounds from a confirmed bullish reversal.
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