- XRP historically drops 85%–96% before major pumps emerge late cycles
- Analyst projects Q4 2028 pump with $7–$10 target range
- Past XRP rallies delivered 2,000% gains after extended accumulation phases
Crypto market analyst BRUH pushed back against growing XRP price speculation by outlining a delayed timeline for its next major move. In a recent X post, he projected that the next major XRP pump will arrive in Q4 2028, arguing that current market signals are misleading and premature. The projection placed XRP within a long accumulation cycle rather than a near-term breakout narrative.
BRUH stated that XRP remains within a broader bear market structure. He linked this phase to historical cycle behavior, where XRP recorded deep drawdowns before stabilizing. In the first major cycle, XRP declined by about 96% from peak to bottom. During the following cycle, the decline measured roughly 85%. He noted that XRP typically rallies late in broader bull cycles and not during early expansion phases.
Extended accumulation defines the current XRP phase
The projection described XRP’s current price action as part of a prolonged accumulation period. Previous cycles showed accumulation phases lasting between 850 and 900 days before a sharp upside move.
BRUH stated that once XRP exits accumulation, price movement tends to accelerate quickly. He added that most of the upside historically occurs within less than 30 days. This structure leaves limited time for repositioning once a pump begins.
Also Read: 21Shares: Only $1.7 Billion XRP Left on Exchanges, Supply Shock Imminent?
He also referenced the 200 EMA as a recurring technical level during XRP bear markets. XRP historically traded below the 200 EMA before forming a durable bottom. At the time of the projection, XRP remained above that level, suggesting further consolidation remains possible. He estimated potential downside of around 10% to 15% before a final bottom forms.
Past regulatory pressure continues to influence cycle behavior
BRUH referenced earlier regulatory and exchange-related events that affected XRP price behavior. He cited the SEC case and the Coinbase delisting period as examples of price suppression during a previous cycle. During that period, XRP traded near $0.10 before rallying to around $2.00, representing a move of nearly 2,000%. These events were presented as factors that delayed expansion rather than eliminated upside potential.
The projection used this history to explain why XRP cycles often appear slower compared to other large assets. External pressure was described as extending accumulation phases while not preventing strong cycle driven rallies.
Quarter four timing aligns with projected price expansion
The projected Q4 2028 timeline was linked to XRP’s historical tendency to rally during the fourth quarter. Previous major expansions began in Q4 periods such as October, November, or December. This recurring pattern formed the basis for the projected timing window.
Within that framework, BRUH outlined a projected price range for the next major pump. He stated that a move toward the $7 to $10 range remains realistic during the next cycle peak. He criticized projections suggesting XRP could surge to levels such as $27 or $100, describing those figures as inconsistent with historical percentage gains and resistance behavior.
Resistance zones and post-pump risks highlighted
The projection referenced the $3.30 to $3.50 range as a historically significant resistance zone. XRP previously faced strong selling pressure near that level before retracing. Similar behavior was described as likely during future expansions.
BRUH also stated that XRP cycles typically include a rapid pump followed by a sharp correction. Post-peak declines of 60% to 90% have occurred in prior cycles. Extended drawdowns often follow these peaks, reinforcing caution around late-cycle positioning.
The projection outlined a structured timeline and price framework for XRP’s next major move. The Q4 2028 window is defined when a significant pump may occur, with projected upside centered in the $7 to $10 range. Long accumulation periods, historical drawdowns of 85% to 96%, and fourth-quarter timing formed the core of the outlook. The message reinforced caution against extreme price expectations and premature speculation.
Also Read: 21Shares: Only $1.7 Billion XRP Left on Exchanges, Supply Shock Imminent?
