A fresh chart analysis by EGRAG CRYPTO has sparked renewed interest in XRP’s long-term price trajectory. According to the expert, historical patterns suggest XRP could be on track to reach either $9.5 or $37.5, depending on how the current cycle unfolds.
The analysis identifies three primary market cycles since 2014, where XRP’s price repeatedly rose above a key Exponential Moving Average (EMA), then retraced to retest that level before entering a steep rally.
Such retests signaled the initiation of the most violent price action of a cycle. During the first cycle, XRP showed gains of about 2,000%. The second round registered a lesser, though impressive, 455% increase.
Based on these historical performances, two possible objectives of the current cycle are suggested. During Cycle 2, XRP could reach $9.5, provided it takes a similar route. Nonetheless, if it repeats the pattern in Cycle 1, it might continue to $37.5. They are both based on the point of EMA retest in April 2025.
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Cycle Structures Indicate Potential for Significant Price Movement
The chart breakdown reveals that XRP has once again climbed above the EMA and successfully retested it, mimicking its behavior in the previous cycles. This retest acts as a key confirmation level before any extended bullish movement. If this structure holds, XRP could soon begin a new upward phase from its current zone.
Current market positioning aligns with the start of previous blowoff phases. These explosive rallies had the same formations, in which the EMA was used as a support line. According to the analysis, a significant shift might be observed if XRP sustains its growth above the retest area.
Source: EGRAG CRYPTO
Two target areas, 9.5 and 37.5, are computed using historical percentage gains when tested on the retest of the EMA. The more conservative analysis shows that a 455 percent increase is possible, while the more optimistic one would need a 2,000 percent shift. Both are grounded in historical price behavior and do not rely on speculative assumptions.
Many in the community consider the moderate move to $9.5 the most likely scenario, given the current market conditions and recent technical structure. Nonetheless, traders are urged to prepare for both outcomes and adjust their strategies accordingly.
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