- John Bollinger warns XRP rally hides technical weakness beneath strong price action
- XRP’s rapid surge lacks structural support compared with Bitcoin and Ethereum
- Volatility signals suggest XRP gains may face pressure despite bullish momentum
XRP moved into the spotlight after a rapid price advance triggered fresh debate across the crypto market, drawing a measured response from veteran market technician John Bollinger, who pointed to underlying technical risks.
XRP has climbed about 32% since the start of the year, outperforming several major digital assets as the pace of the move allowed prices to break resistance quickly with limited consolidation. According to Bollinger, the surge reflects strong momentum but does not match the technical quality seen in leading cryptocurrencies, as he acknowledged the lift while stressing that pattern strength matters more than speed.
Short-term buying pressure pushed XRP toward the upper end of its recent trading range, a move that impressed traders but also raised concerns about durability. Volatility indicators played a central role in Bollinger’s caution, as he observed that XRP did not experience meaningful volatility compression before the breakout.
Weak Volatility Signals Raise Sustainability Concerns
According to Bollinger, the Bollinger Bandwidth indicator failed to tighten to historical extremes, a signal that often precedes durable trends and extended upside. Additionally, XRP’s volatility profile appeared noisy rather than controlled, a condition that increases the likelihood of sharp pullbacks during broader market shifts.
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The rally also pushed prices above the upper Bollinger Band, and while that move signals strength, it leaves little technical support below current levels. Bollinger warned that rallies without a firm base often struggle to hold gains, placing XRP at higher risk than structurally stronger assets.
Market Leadership Still Favors Bitcoin and Ethereum
Bollinger’s analysis extended beyond XRP to the wider market structure, emphasizing that Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to lead from a technical standpoint. Bitcoin maintains a classic squeeze-and-breakout formation supported by strong volatility compression, providing a clearer foundation for sustained price advances.
Ethereum mirrors Bitcoin’s structure but lacks independent momentum, with Bollinger describing it as delayed rather than weak and technically stronger than XRP. In contrast, XRP’s rally remains driven more by momentum than formation quality, while the absence of a strong base keeps the move vulnerable during corrections.
This imbalance explains Bollinger’s current market hierarchy, where he ranked leadership as Bitcoin first, Ethereum second, and XRP third. Market participants now watch whether XRP can consolidate near current levels, as failure to do so may place increasing pressure on the recent surge.
The price jump has reignited attention around XRP across trading circles, yet Bollinger’s warning highlights that strong gains do not always signal lasting strength. His assessment reinforces a familiar market lesson, as technical structure often determines whether rallies extend or fade.
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