A recent analysis by crypto expert Future XRP has spotlighted a key technical element that may be critical to XRP’s long-term valuation. The report identifies transaction throughput as a central yet underestimated factor that could drastically affect the token’s price.
According to the analyst, the XRP Ledger currently operates at 1,500 transactions per second in everyday conditions. During stress testing, it has exceeded 3,400 transactions per second. Future XRP believes that this can be scaled up even more to 10,000 TPS or beyond with validator improvement and sidechain tweaks.
This throughput is directly connected to the speed of XRP, which offers an indication of the number of times each token is utilized annually. An increased TPS permits more transactions each year, increasing the velocity and ability of the token to transfer higher volumes to the network.
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Highlighting another key point, the professional details that although XRP has a total supply of 100 billion tokens, not all will remain in active circulation. Factors such as cold storage, staking, institutional holdings, and ETFs can decrease the adequate circulating supply to 10 billion to 60 billion.
Lower Throughput Could Force Price Surge to Sustain Settlement Volume
At 10,000 TPS, the XRP network could process around 315 billion transactions per year. If 20 billion XRP are actively circulating, this translates to a velocity of 15.8. With 60 billion tokens, the velocity drops to 5.26. In contrast, if TPS remains at 1,500, the yearly volume will fall to 47.3 billion transactions. Under that condition and a 60 billion supply, the velocity plummets to just 0.79.
Future XRP calculates potential prices using the MV = PQ monetary formula. He estimates that settling $1 quadrillion annually—a conservative figure based on segments of global settlement markets—would require XRP to reach $3,165 per token with 20 billion in supply. That figure rises to more than $21,000 if network capacity remains low and token supply stays high.
The analysis suggests XRP’s value hinges less on hype and more on its real-world technical performance. If transaction speed remains ignored, XRP’s required price could be pushed to unexpected heights.
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