- XRP Holds Firm Near $1.85 as ETF Inflows Offset Persistent Selling Pressure
- Institutional demand provides a floor, but technical weakness continues to cap upside.
- Descending trendline and EMA resistance keep rallies corrective.
XRP price today trades near $1.85, stabilizing just above a well-defined demand zone after months of steady downside pressure. The token has entered a consolidation phase as record-setting ETF inflows collide with persistent technical weakness, keeping price pinned near support rather than triggering a sustained recovery.
Despite strong institutional accumulation through ETFs, XRP remains trapped beneath key resistance levels. Sellers continue to fade rallies, leaving the broader structure bearish and momentum muted.
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XRP’s Base Holds, but the Trend Remains Intact
XRP continues to respect the $1.80–$1.85 support zone, an area that has attracted repeated bids throughout December. This zone aligns with prior demand and represents the last consistently defended level by bulls.
However, the broader trend has not improved. On the daily chart, XRP remains firmly below a descending trendline that has capped price since the summer peak. Each attempt to rally into this trendline has been met with renewed selling, reinforcing seller dominance.
The Supertrend remains bearish near $2.07, while Parabolic SAR dots continue to print above price, confirming that downside pressure remains active despite recent stabilization. Until XRP reclaims these levels, any upside move remains corrective rather than trend-forming.
EMA Cluster Highlights Heavy Overhead Supply
Lower-timeframe price action explains why XRP has struggled to build momentum. On the two-hour chart, XRP trades below a tightly packed EMA cluster, with the 20, 50, 100, and 200-period averages stacked between $1.85 and $1.93.
This EMA band has repeatedly acted as resistance, turning into a sell-on-strength zone where rallies stall. Bollinger Bands have compressed, reflecting declining volatility and continued indecision.
This tightening structure suggests the market is coiling, but direction remains unresolved. Buyers must reclaim and hold above the EMA cluster to shift momentum away from the current neutral-bearish bias.
Source: Tradingview
Spot Netflows Reveal Distribution at Resistance
On-chain data helps explain why ETF inflows have failed to ignite a breakout. XRP spot netflows have remained consistently negative, including a $7.95 million net outflow recorded on December 27. These outflows suggest that existing holders are using rallies to distribute tokens back into the market. This steady sell-side activity has absorbed ETF-driven demand and kept price capped near resistance.
The pattern remains consistent: ETF inflows stabilize price during selloffs, but they have not yet been large enough to overpower ongoing distribution from legacy holders.
ETF Inflows Act as a Floor, Not a Catalyst
XRP’s ETF performance continues to stand out. Since launch, XRP ETFs have recorded 27 consecutive days with no net outflows, accumulating between $1.25 and $1.29 billion in assets under management. Between 686 million and 746 million XRP tokens are now locked within ETF structures. The most recent inflow of $11.93 million on December 24 extended this streak through the holiday period.
Despite this sustained demand, price has failed to respond meaningfully. Many holders who accumulated above $1.86 remain underwater and are using strength to exit positions. Long-term holders are also locking in remaining gains after a volatile year, reinforcing overhead supply.
ETF buying has prevented a deeper breakdown, but without a reduction in sell-side pressure, it has not yet triggered a trend reversal.
Key Support and Resistance Levels for XRP
For the bullish case to gain traction, XRP must secure a daily close above $1.93, reclaiming the EMA cluster and opening the door toward $2.05. A decisive break above $2.07 would mark the first meaningful structural shift since summer.
On the downside, a loss of $1.80 would invalidate the current base and expose the next demand zone near $1.65. Below that level, downside risk accelerates toward prior consolidation zones.
Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for XRP
A daily close above $1.93 that flips the EMA cluster into support would signal improving momentum. Acceptance above $2.07 would confirm a trend shift and allow for a broader recovery attempt.
Failure to hold $1.80 would confirm seller control remains intact. A breakdown would expose $1.65, with further downside risk if selling pressure accelerates.
XRP Price Prediction 2025–2029
| Year | Minimum Price | Average Price | Maximum Price |
| 2025 | $1.60 | $1.90 | $2.20 |
| 2026 | $1.75 | $2.10 | $2.50 |
| 2027 | $2.00 | $2.40 | $2.80 |
| 2028 | $2.20 | $2.60 | $3.10 |
| 2029 | $2.40 | $2.90 | $3.40 |
2025
XRP enters 2025 stabilizing above key demand after a prolonged downtrend. A reclaim of $1.93–$2.07 would be required to unlock a sustained recovery. Failure to do so keeps price range-bound and vulnerable.
2026
If ETF accumulation continues and sell-side pressure gradually fades, XRP could trade within a broader $1.75–$2.50 range as volatility compresses.
2027–2028
With reduced distribution and improving market structure, XRP could steadily advance toward the $3.00 region, though upside is likely to remain cyclical.
2029
By 2029, a full trend reversal could see XRP trading firmly above $3.00, provided long-term resistance zones are cleared and sustained demand persists.
Conclusion
XRP’s price is holding firm above key support, but the broader trend has not yet turned bullish. ETF inflows have provided a strong floor, preventing a deeper selloff, but persistent distribution and technical resistance continue to cap upside.
Until XRP can reclaim the $1.93–$2.07 resistance zone, rallies remain corrective rather than trend-defining. The coming sessions will determine whether consolidation resolves into a breakout or another leg lower. XRP sits at a critical inflection point — supported, but not yet freed from seller control.
FAQs
1. Why is XRP price not rising despite strong ETF inflows?
ETF inflows are offset by persistent spot market selling, with holders using rallies to distribute tokens.
2. What is the key support level for XRP?
The primary support zone lies between $1.80 and $1.85.
3. What resistance must XRP break to turn bullish?
A daily close above $1.93, followed by a break above $2.07, is required to confirm a trend shift.
4. Could XRP fall to $1.65?
Yes. A loss of $1.80 would expose the next demand zone near $1.65.
5. Is XRP in a long-term downtrend?
Yes. XRP remains below a descending trendline and key moving averages, keeping the broader structure bearish despite short-term stabilization.
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