XRP 100 EMA Becomes Key Test as Analyst Maps Possible Final Dip

In Brief:

• EGRAG identifies XRP’s three-day 100 EMA as the decisive level for confirming whether the token has established its macro bottom.
• Failure beneath the moving average could potentially expose XRP to another decline toward the analyst’s $0.95 to $1.00 support region.
• A confirmed breakout would place $2.27 within reach while $3.85 remains the chart’s primary long-term macro resistance and breakout zone.

Crypto analyst EGRAG Crypto has identified XRP’s three-day 100 EMA as the decisive level that could confirm its macro bottom. According to EGRAG, XRP must reclaim the average, hold above it, retest it, and rebound before receiving bullish confirmation.

The chart analysis compares XRP’s current correction with the market structure formed during the previous cycle. Both formations show XRP trading within descending patterns while approaching the three-day 100 exponential moving average.

During the previous cycle, the moving average played a central role in separating bearish conditions from a broader recovery. XRP initially struggled beneath the indicator as sellers maintained control and restricted every recovery attempt.

However, buyers eventually pushed XRP above the 100 EMA and maintained several three-day closes beyond it. Price later returned to test the moving average before producing a rebound.

That successful retest suggested sellers had lost control and supported expectations that the macro bottom was already established. EGRAG believes XRP may now be approaching another comparable decision point.

Nevertheless, the analyst stressed that touching the moving average would not provide enough evidence for a confirmed reversal. XRP must close above the indicator and remain there through multiple three-day candles.

Moreover, buyers must defend the average when price returns for a retest. A rebound from that area would strengthen the argument that XRP’s correction has ended.

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XRP Faces Major Reaction Zone Before $2.27 Reclaim

EGRAG identified the $1.38 to $1.40 range as XRP’s immediate reaction zone within the current market structure. His chart places XRP near $1.39, where descending resistance and the rising moving average appear to converge.

Consequently, buyers face several technical barriers within a relatively narrow price region. A decisive breakout could weaken the descending structure and strengthen XRP’s broader recovery prospects. Failure around the 100 EMA would produce a different outlook. EGRAG believes another macro decline could send XRP toward the $0.95 to $1.00 range.

That area appears near horizontal support and the lower boundary of the projected corrective structure. It could provide another entry opportunity for investors who missed XRP near one dollar. However, the potential decline remains a technical scenario rather than a guaranteed market outcome. Price must first fail below the 100 EMA and remain trapped beneath resistance.

XRP Targets $3.85 as Historical Timing Supports Comparison

Conversely, confirmation above the moving average would bring $2.27 into view as the next important reclaim level. Recovering that resistance could support a broader move toward XRP’s upper structural boundaries.

Additionally, EGRAG marked $3.85 as the main macro breakout zone near the previous cycle high. Sustained movement above that level would signal a more significant change in XRP’s long-term direction.

The chart also compares the duration of both corrective structures using three-day candles. XRP’s earlier pattern covered approximately 34 candles, representing about 101 days before reaching its highlighted turning area.

Meanwhile, the current projection covers 34 candles and approximately 102 days, extending toward November 27, 2026. Similar timing supports EGRAG’s comparison, although historical patterns cannot guarantee identical results.

XRP’s next major direction therefore depends on its behavior around the three-day 100 EMA. A confirmed retest could establish the bottom, while rejection would preserve the possibility of another decline.

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